* probable winner
** more probable winner
*** very probable winner.

This because in reality all the names on the list and few more are very probable winners. Just look at the few stages Kemna was one of the biggest favouritesv few days ago.. in one of them, he was so marked that he was not even allowed to go in a breakaway… every time he tried some other team desided to follow him and whole peleton followed… so in a sense, beacause of team tactics, there was a lot of less likely riders in the breakaway.
And tgen the breakaway fight is sometime long and tiring… then many riders join the fight and some of the more likely one give up… so you might end up with many surprises.
Although today, the hills will most likely make less of surprises, because the best climbers will the clear advantage. Still its not always easy to guess the teams tactics. For sure those fighting for the polkadot jersey will go in breakaway today. That does not mean they will win the stage, they might get in a position to try, but perhaps less fresh in their legs today. I would not rule out Barguil today, even if he used loots of energy yesterday. He might go for the polkadot. And Latour and Gesche has been riding hard for many days already. If he is lucky the GC contenders teams might wait until end of stage before speeding up…so the breakaway might get a big time gap. Giving all good climber in the breakaway a very good chance.