We can expect Sagan, Greipel and Kristoff to come to the fore at slightly uphill arrivals, while it is to the advantage of Cav and Kittel when the arrival is flat, like today’s. The German seems to be best armed as he has been in good shape this whole season. He has ten stage wins under his belt, plus the overall in the unsurpassed sprinter’s race, Dubai Tour.
For comparison: André Greipel did win seven races, Mark Cavendish six, and Alexander Kristoff nine. Peter Sagan’s 2016 track record boasts seven victories.
In stage 1 Cav outsprinted the pack, finishing ahead of Kittel, Sagan and Greipel, while he held off Greipel with an all or nothing jump on the false flat arrival of stage 3. Kittel powered to victory in stage 4, but in stage 6 it was Mark Cavendish time again.
So, that’s three for Cav and one for Kittel.
Favourites 11st stage Tour de France 2016:
*** Marcel Kittel, Mark Cavendish,
** Alexander Kristoff, Peter Sagan, André Greipel, Bryan Coquard
* Michael Matthews, Dylan Groenewegen, Edwards Theuns, Davide Cimolai
Tour de France 2016 stage 11: Route maps, height profiles, etc.
Click on the images to zoom.